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Author (up) Azadeh, A.; Saberi, M.; Gitiforouz, A.; Saberi, Z. doi  openurl
  Title A hybrid simulation-adaptive network based fuzzy inference system for improvement of electricity consumption estimation Type
  Year 2009 Publication Expert Systems with Applications Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 36 Issue 8 Pages 11108-11117  
  Keywords Hybrid; Adaptive network based fuzzy inference system; Computer simulation; Improvement; Time series; Electricity consumption  
  Abstract This paper presents a hybrid adaptive network based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), computer simulation and time series algorithm to estimate and predict electricity consumption estimation. The difficulty with electricity consumption estimation modeling approach such as time series is the reason for proposing the hybrid approach of this study. The algorithm is ideal for uncertain, ambiguous and complex estimation and forecasting. Computer simulation is developed to generate random variables for monthly electricity consumption. Various structures of ANFIS are examined and the preferred model is selected for estimation by the proposed algorithm. Finally, the preferred ANFIS and time series models are selected by Granger-Newbold test. Monthly electricity consumption in Iran from 1995 to 2005 is considered as the case of this study. The superiority of the proposed algorithm is shown by comparing its results with genetic algorithm (GA) and artificial neural network (ANN). This is the first study that uses a hybrid ANFIS computer simulation for improvement of electricity consumption estimation.  
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  Call Number Admin @ admin @ AzadehSaberiGitiforouzSaberi2009 Serial 4365  
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